Impacts in North Carolina are expected to occur Monday through Tuesday, the NWS said in its 11:30 a.m. briefing.

While the official track has shifted westward and appears to put Halifax and Northampton counties out of the direct path, the NWS warned, “Remember, the forecast track cone is only a prediction of where the eye, or center of the storm, may go. It’s important to remember that weather hazard and impacts can and do occur well outside of that cone of uncertainty.”

What is expected to come from the storm is 2 to 4 inches of rain across central North Carolina with the heaviest rains expected in the western and southern portions of the state.

Heavy rain could result in localized urban and poor drainage short-duration flooding. “Widespread or long-lasting river flooding like we experienced last year with Matthew is not expected.”

Rain is expected to arrive Monday and end Tuesday afternoon with the heaviest amounts expected Monday evening and night.

While the likelihood of tropical storm force winds across central North Carolina has decreased, the NWS says a few wind gusts to low-end tropical storm force winds around 40 miles per hour are still possible across central North Carolina Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.

These winds could result in a few isolated downed trees or tree limbs, which could subsequently result in isolated power outages. Widespread wind damage is not expected across central North Carolina. “Confidence is moderate that central North Carolina will see some impacts from Irma.

(There is) lower confidence on the exact type and magnitude expected impacts because of track uncertainties.”